
El Niño Effect: India May Experience Warmer Winter, Threat to Wheat Production
What Happened?
Concerns rise over El Niño's impact on India's winter weather, potentially leading to higher temperatures and affecting wheat yields. The World Meteorological Organization warns of a stronger El Niño through 2027.
Key points
- El Niño may lead to warmer winter temperatures in India.
- India experienced 13% less rainfall during the monsoon season this year.
- Eastern and northeastern India recorded 26% less rainfall, indicating drought conditions.
- The World Meteorological Organization predicts El Niño will strengthen until the end of 2026.
- Higher winter temperatures could impact wheat crop yields during the grain-filling stage.
Key insights
- If El Niño strengthens, it may lead to prolonged dry conditions in some regions of India.
- The impact on wheat production could affect food security in the region.
- Monitoring weather patterns will be crucial for farmers and policymakers in the coming months.
Why it matters
The potential increase in winter temperatures could affect water availability and wheat production in India.
Source
India Today

